Arboviruses epidemic associates with Guillain-Barré syndrome: temporal series in northeast Brazil / Epidemia de arboviroses associada à síndrome de Guillain-Barré: série temporal no nordeste brasileiro / Epidemia de arbovirosis asociada al síndrome de Guillain-Barré: serie temporal en el noreste de Brasil

Arboviruses cause public health problems in several countries, and records show that they can generate central and peripheral neurological complications with permanent sequelae. However, it is not certain which arbovirus is responsible for outbreaks of the Guillain-Barré Syndrome (GBS), especially in Brazil. Thus, the objective of this study is to verify if there is a coincidence between the GBS outbreak and the most common arboviruses in Northeastern Brazil, as well as their relationship. An ecological time series study was designed with the federative units of Northeastern Brazil, using hospitalizations for Guillain-Barré syndrome and notifications of arbovirus infections between 2014 and 2019 as a data source. Distribution incidence curves were constructed for the conditions studied, and generalized estimating equations (GEE) models were applied to estimate the relationship between arboviruses and Guillain-Barré. The results showed a similar distribution for the incidences of Chikungunya virus (z=7.82; p=0.001), Zika virus (z=3.69; p=0.03), and Guillain-Barré syndrome (z=2.98; p=0.05) from 2014 to 2019. The GEE model revealed that the distribution of Chikungunya incidence is associated with the distribution of GBS incidence in each year (x2Wald=3,969; p=0.046). This pattern was repeated in seven of the nine states, while the Zika virus had a significant relationship with GBS in only two states. The outbreak of GBS in Northeastern Brazil appears to be probabilistically related to outbreaks of the Chikungunya virus.

As arboviroses são problemas de saúde pública em vários países e há registros de que podem produzir complicações neurológicas centrais e periféricas com sequelas permanentes. Entretanto, não se sabe ao certo qual delas é realmente responsável pelos surtos da Síndrome de Guillain-Barré (SGB), principalmente no Brasil. Assim, o objetivo é verificar se há coincidência entre o surto de SGB e as arboviroses mais comuns no Nordeste do Brasil e suas relações. Foi desenhado um estudo ecológico de série temporal com as unidades federativas do Nordeste do Brasil, adotando como fonte de dados as internações Guillain-Barré e as notificações de infecções por arbovírus entre 2014 e 2019. Curvas de distribuição de incidência foram construídas para as condições estudadas, e foram aplicados modelos de equações generalizadas estimadas (GEE) para estimar a relação entre arbovírus e Guillain-Barré. Evidencia-se que há distribuição semelhante para as incidências do vírus Chikungunya (z=7,82; p=0,001), vírus Zika (z=3,69; p=0,03) e síndrome de Guillain-Barré (z=2,98; p=0,05) entre 2014 e 2019. O modelo GEE revelou que a distribuição da incidência de Chikungunya está associada à distribuição da incidência de SGB em cada ano (x2Wald=3,969; p=0,046). Esse padrão se repetiu em sete dos nove estados, enquanto o zika vírus teve uma relação significativa com o GBS em apenas dois estados. Conclui-se, então, que o surto de SGB no Nordeste do Brasil parece estar probabilisticamente relacionado aos surtos do vírus Chikungunya.

Los arbovirus causan problemas de salud pública en varios países y, según indican los reportes, pueden producir complicaciones neurológicas centrales y periféricas con secuelas permanentes. Sin embargo, no se sabe cuál de ellos es realmente el responsable de los brotes del síndrome de Guillain-Barré (SGB), especialmente en Brasil. Así, el objetivo de este estudio es verificar si existen coincidencias entre el brote del SGB y los arbovirus más comunes en el Noreste de Brasil y sus asociaciones. Se diseñó un estudio de series temporales ecológico en las unidades federativas del Noreste de Brasil, adoptando como fuente de datos las hospitalizaciones y las notificaciones de arbovirosis de Guillain-Barré entre 2014 y 2019. Se construyeron curvas de distribución de incidencia para las condiciones científicas, y se aplicó una ecuación estimada generalizada (GEE) para estimar la relación entre arbovirus y Guillain-Barré. Se encontró que existe una distribución similar en las incidencias de virus del chikunguña (z=7,82; p=0,001), virus del Zika (z=3,69; p=0,03) y síndrome de Guillain-Barré (z =2,98; p=0,05) entre 2014 y 2019. El modelo GEE reveló que la distribución de la incidencia de chikunguña está asociada con la distribución de la incidencia de SGB en cada año (x2Wald=3,969; p=0,046). Este patrón se repitió en siete de los nueve estados, mientras que el virus del Zika presentó una relación significativa con el SGB en solo dos estados. El brote del SGB en el Noreste de Brasil parece estar relacionado probabilísticamente con los brotes del virus del chikunguña.

Ischemic Stroke and Acute Myocardial Infarction: Trends in in-Hospital Mortality in Brazil from 1998 to 2018

Abstract Background Ischemic stroke and acute myocardial infarction (AMI) are cardiovascular diseases with high morbidity and mortality rates in Brazil and worldwide. Their outcomes are influenced by public policies aimed at mitigating risk factors and by investments in infrastructure of emergency support and quality of hospital care. Objective To analyze the trend in the proportion of in-hospital deaths from ischemic stroke and AMI in Brazil as a way of evaluating the effectiveness of urgency and emergency services. Methods Ecological time series study using data from the Hospital Information System. The outcome was the proportion of in-hospital deaths from ischemic stroke and AMI with stratification by sex and state. Prais-Winsten regression was used to analyze the trend between 1998-2018 with α≤0,05. Results The proportion of deaths from AMI and ischemic stroke declined in the time series (p<0.001), decreasing annually by 0.17% and 0.25%, respectively. In 20 years, it reduced 43.76% (ischemic stroke) and 32.39% (AMI) in both sexes. However, the decline was more evident in the South and Southeast regions. Conclusion The reduction in hospital deaths from AMI and ischemic stroke was heterogeneous among Brazilian regions, which may be related to inequality in emergency services and hospital support.

Atherosclerosis Complications in the Brazilian Population: An Ecological Time Series Study

Abstract Background: Atherosclerosis is a serious health problem, and several factors contribute to its occurrence. Longitudinal and qualified monitoring of primary health care (PHC) may contribute to the management of atherosclerosis and reduction of avoidable hospital admissions. Objectives: To estimate the trend in hospitalizations for atherosclerosis and the impact of PHC coverage on its evolution from 2008 to 2018 in Brazil. Methods: An ecological time series analytical study based on the outcomes of hospital admissions for atherosclerosis in Brazil. Time in years, PHC coverage, and Family Health Strategy (FHS) services were considered independent variables. A Prais-Winsten model was used to estimate the outcome trend, and α < 0.05 was adopted. Results: We observed a mean increase of 1.81 hospitalizations for atherosclerosis per 100 000 inhabitants annually (p = 0.002) in Brazil. This growth was evidenced in the Northeast (p < 0.001), Southeast (p = 0.003), and South (p < 0.001) regions, being stable in the North (p = 0.057) and Midwest (p = 0.62) regions. Men presented twice the growth in hospitalizations from the fifth decade of life on (p < 0.01). An inversely proportional relationship was observed for PHC coverage (B = -0.71; p < 0.001) and the proportion of FHS services (B = -0.59; p < 0.001) with the rate of admissions due to atherosclerosis in Brazil. Conclusions: Although hospitalizations for atherosclerotic complications are increasing in Brazil, they present regional and individual gender and age discrepancies, as well as a mitigating effect exerted by PHC coverage.

Associação entre o índice de massa corpórea e presença de afecções dermatológicas em escolares / Association between body mass index and presence of skin disorders in schoolchildren

A obesidade é um distúrbio metabólico crônico, multifatorial e complexo, no qual danos orgânicos podem ser evidenciáveis em curto ou longo prazo, destacando-se as afecções dermatológicas. Com o objetivo de verificar a associação entre o índice de massa corpórea e a presença de afecções dermatológicas em estudantes de uma escola pública do sertão Baiano. Tratou-se de um estudo transversal onde foram avaliados 169 escolares. O desfecho foram as afecções dermatológicas e as variáveis independentes o IMC, idade e sexo. Os dados foram analisados com qui-quadrado e α≤0,05. Cerca de 41 estudantes (24,3%) tinham baixo peso, 92 (54,4%) eutróficos e 36 (21,3%) obesos. Dentre as afecções dermatológicas, a estria se destacou com uma prevalência de 58%, seguida da celulite 26% e acne 24,3%. A faixa etária (14-20 anos) esteve significativamente associada com os valores do IMC (p=0,05). Do mesmo modo que a acantose (p=0,05), estrias, hidradenite e celulite também apresentaram relação significativa com o IMC (p=0,01). Houve significância estatística (p=0,01) quando comparada a presença de até seis dermatoses com os grupos baixo peso, eutrófico e obeso. Determinadas afecções dermatológicas estiveram significativamente associadas ao IMC. É necessário que sejam realizadas ações educacionais de conscientização e prevenção direcionadas para estes jovens que levem a uma redução dos casos de obesidade, tendo em vista que neste grupo as alterações dermatológicas foram mais evidentes.

Obesity is a chronic, multifactorial and complex metabolic disorder, in which organic damage can be evident in the short or long term, especially dermatological disorders. With the objective of verifying the association between the body mass index and the presence of dermatological conditions, students at a public school in the backcountry of Bahia were studied. This was a cross-sectional study in which 169 schoolchildren were evaluated. The outcome was skin conditions, and the independent variables were BMI, age, and sex. Data were analyzed with the chi-squared test and an α≤0.05. About 41 students (24.3%) were underweight, 92 (54.4%) were eutrophic, and 36 (21.3%) were obese. Among the dermatological conditions, stretch marks stood out with a prevalence of 58%, followed by cellulite with 26%, and acne with 24.3%. The age group (14-20 years) was significantly associated with BMI values (p=0.05). Similarly, acanthosis (p=0.05), striae, hidradenitis, and cellulite also showed a significant relationship with BMI (p=0.01). There was statistical significance (p=0.01) when the presence of up to six dermatoses was compared with the low weight, eutrophic, and obese groups. Certain skin conditions were significantly associated with BMI. It is necessary to carry out educational awareness and prevention actions aimed at these young people that lead to a reduction in obesity cases, considering that in this group the dermatological changes were more evident.

Stroke and Myocardial Infarction: Effects of the "Hiperdia" and "Mais Médicos" Programs on the Hospitalizations Trends in Brazil

Abstract Background Stroke and acute myocardial infarction (AMI) are cardiovascular diseases commonly characterized by the development of atheromatous plaques associated with major complications and high mortality rates. Objective To identify an epidemiological trend in hospitalizations due to stroke and AMI and to analyze the relationship between health programs applied in Primary Health Care, gender and the Federative Unit. Methods Ecological study with a time series design between 1998 and 2018, collecting data from all federal units in Brazil stratified by, gender and place of residence. There were analyzed Hospitalization Authorizations (AIH) for stroke and MI, consulting the Hospital Admissions System (SIH) of the Informatics Department of the National Health Service with p <0.05. Results From 1998 to 2018, the rate of hospitalization for AMI increased in Brazil approximately 42.58 events per 100 thousand inhabitants annually (p<0.001), while hospitalizations for stroke declined 32.17 cases (p=0.03). This pattern was observed in both sexes in AMI and stroke. There is also evidence of the effect of the Hiperdia (p<0.001) and Mais Médicos (p=0.001) program in reducing stroke and Hiperdia cases in mitigating the evolution of AMI cases (p = 0.0001). Conclusion Although these diseases remain as an important cause of death, stroke hospitalization has reduced significantly in the period evaluated. National programs as the Hiperdia and Mais Médicos showed an impact in the acute cases of strokes and AMI.

Risco de Morte em Idosos com Sonolência Excessiva Diurna, Insônia e Depressão: Estudo de Coorte Prospectiva em População Urbana no Nordeste Brasileiro / Risk of Death in the Elderly with Excessive Daytime Sleepiness, Insomnia and Depression: Prospective Cohort Study in an Urban Population in Northeast Brazil

Resumo Fundamento A íntima relação entre a regulação do sono e os eventos cardiovasculares é um dos principais focos de investigação na medicina contemporânea. Hábitos e características do sono interferem na ritmicidade cardíaca e também na expectativa de vida, principalmente em idosos. Objetivo Estimar o risco de óbito e de eventos cardiovasculares em idosos comunitários que apresentam queixa de insônia e sonolência excessiva diurna ao longo de oito anos de seguimento. Método Foi desenhada uma coorte prospectiva com 160 idosos, a primeira onda em 2009 e a segunda em 2017. Os grupos de seguimento foram determinados pela exposição ou não às queixas de insônia primária e a sonolência excessiva diurna, com ou sem ronco. As covariáveis sexo, estado conjugal, depressão, hipertensão e diabetes foram controladas. O desfecho primário foi o óbito e o secundário, os eventos cardiocerebrovasculares (ECV). As probabilidades dos desfechos foram estimadas pelo risco relativo (RR), através da regressão de Poisson, adotando-se α ≤ 0,05. Resultados Registraram-se 40 mortes no período (25,97%:19,04-32,89) e 48 ECVs (30,76%:23,52-38,01). Os homens apresentaram maior risco (RR = 1,88;1,01-3,50) de óbito. A depressão (RR = 2,04;1,06-3,89), a gravidade da insônia (RR = 2,39;1,52-4,56) e a latência do sono entre 16-30 minutos (RR = 3,54;1,26-9,94) e 31-60 minutos (RR = 2,23;1,12-4,47) aumentaram independentemente o risco de óbito em idosos comunitários. Os ECVs foram preditos apenas por idosos hipertensos e/ou diabéticos (RR = 8,30; 1,98-34,82). Conclusão A mortalidade em idosos é influenciada pelo estado emocional e pela dificuldade de dormir, diferentemente dos ECVs, condicionados apenas pelas condições pressóricas arteriais e metabólicas.

Abstract Background The close relationship between sleep regulation and cardiovascular events is one of the main focuses of research in contemporary medicine. Sleep habits and characteristics interfere with the cardiac rhythm and also with life expectancy, especially in the elderly. Objective To estimate the risk of death and cardiovascular events in community-dwelling elderly individuals complaining of insomnia and excessive daytime sleepiness over eight years of follow-up. Method A prospective cohort was designed with 160 elderly, with the first wave occurring in 2009 and the second in 2017. Follow-up groups were determined by exposure or not to complaints of primary insomnia and excessive daytime sleepiness with or without snoring. The covariates gender, marital status, depression, hypertension and diabetes were controlled. The primary outcome was death and the secondary outcome was cardio-cerebrovascular events (CCV). Outcome risks were estimated by relative risk (RR) through Poisson regression, adopting α≤0.05. Results There were 40 (25.97%: 19.04-32.89) deaths over the period and 48 (30.76%: 23.52-38.01) CCV. Men had a higher risk (RR = 1.88; 1.01-3.50) of death. Depression (RR = 2.04; 1.06-3.89), insomnia severity (RR = 2.39; 1.52-4.56) and sleep latency between 16-30 minutes (RR = 3, 54; 1.26-9.94) and 31-60 minutes (RR = 2.23; 1.12-4.47) increased the risk of death independently in community-dwelling elderly. CCV were predicted only in the hypertensive and / or diabetic elderly (RR = 8.30; 1.98-34.82). Conclusion Mortality in the elderly is influenced by the emotional state and difficulty in falling asleep, unlike CCVs, which are conditioned only by arterial and metabolic blood pressure conditions.